基于常春藤优化算法改进与梯度提升决策树的球团矿转鼓指数预测
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鹿辅振(1999—),男,硕士研究生,从事带式焙烧机建模与控制方面的研究。

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TF046. 6

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内蒙古自然科学基金资助项目(2025LHMS06013)


Pellets drum index prediction based on Ivy League optimization algorithm improvement and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT)
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    摘要:

    转鼓指数是评价球团矿质量的关键指标,亦是生产过程的核心调控对象。针对传统检测滞后性强、控制效果不佳的问题,为实现球团矿质量的实时精准预报,本文提出一种基于拉丁超立方采样- 差分进化混合策略改进的常春藤优化算法(MIVYA_DE)。该算法针对初始种群分布不均及后期局部搜索乏力等缺陷,引入了拉丁超立方采样(LHS)与差分进化( DE) 策略,有效提升了全局寻优能力。基于现场数据的建模与验证结果表明,所提MIVYA_DE 算法显著提高了预测精度。其中,耦合该算法的梯度提升决策树(GBDT) 模型拟合优度最高,决定系数(R2 )达0. 948 7,验证了改进算法的工程实用性与推广价值。

    Abstract:

    The drum index is a key indicator for evaluating pellets quality and is also the core regulatory object in the production process. To address the issues of strong lag in traditional detection methods and poor control effectiveness,as well as to achieve real-time and accurate forecasting of the quality of pellets, an ivy league optimization algorithm (MIVYA_DE) that improves upon the conventional algorithm by incorporating a combination of Latin Hypercube Sampling and Differential Evolution strategies is proposed. This algorithm addresses such shortcomings as uneven initial population distribution and weak local search later on,introducing latin hypercube sampling (LHS) and differential evolution (DE) strategies,and effectively enhancing global optimization capability. Modeling and validation results based on field data show that the proposed MIVYA_DE algorithm significantly improves prediction accuracy;Among them,the gradient improvement decision tree (GBDT) model coupled to this algorithm has the highest best-of-fit,with a determination coefficient (R2 ) of 0. 948 7. This study verified the engineering practicality and promotion value of the improved algorithm.

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鹿辅振,刘丕亮,陈智辉,王超杰.基于常春藤优化算法改进与梯度提升决策树的球团矿转鼓指数预测[J].烧结球团,2026,51(3):90-99

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  • 最后修改日期:2025-12-16
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-23
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