基于LSTM-DNN混合模型的烧结矿FeO含量预测
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陈振民(1983—),男,高级工程师,从事冶金设备技术方面的研究与应用。

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TF046.4;TF325.1

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国家自然科学基金面上项目(52374315)


Prediction of FeO content in sinter based on LSTMDNN hybrid model
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    摘要:

    为实现烧结矿FeO 含量的高精度、前瞻性预测,支撑高炉稳定顺行、炉料质量优化与能效提升,本文提出一种融合时序信息与非时序信息的深度学习预测方法。基于某钢厂烧结机实际生产数据,采用孤立森林算法对异常样本进行识别与清洗,并结合归一化方法消除不同工艺参数间的量纲差异;在此基础上,利用Spearman 相关性分析与最大互信息系数(MIC)相结合的特征筛选方法,从多项生产变量中提取出9 项与FeO 含量密切相关的关键工艺参数,构建预测数据集;进一步建立融合长短期记忆网络(LSTM) 与深度神经网络(DNN) 的LSTM-DNN 混合模型,以充分挖掘烧结过程中的时序依赖特征及高维非线性映射关系。结果表明:与单一LSTM 模型和DNN 模型相比,所建立的LSTM-DNN 混合模型的预测性能更优,在±0. 5 误差范围内的预测准确率达到93. 33%,具有较高的稳定性和泛化能力。该模型已成功集成至烧结机尾断面热成像监测系统,实现图像信息与工艺参数联动的FeO 含量在线预测与预警,可为抑制FeO 含量波动、提升烧结矿质量稳定性和促进烧结过程智能化提供有效技术支撑。

    Abstract:

    In order to achieve high-precision and forward-looking prediction of FeO content in sinter,and support the stable forward operation of blast furnace,charge quality optimization and energy efficiency improvement,a deep learning prediction method that combines temporal and non-temporal information is proposed. Based on the actual production data of a steel mill’s sintering machine,the isolated forest algorithm is used to identify and clean the abnormal samples,and the dimensional differences between different process parameters are eliminated by the normalization method. On this basis,the feature screening method combined with Spearman correlation analysis and maximum information coefficient (MIC) is used to extract 9 key process parameters closely related to FeO content from multiple production variables,and a prediction dataset is constructed. The LSTM-DNN hybrid model integrating long short-term memory network (LSTM) and deep neural network (DNN) is further established to fully explore the time-series-dependent features and high-dimensional nonlinear mapping relationship in the sintering process. The results show that compared with the single LSTM model and DNN model,the proposed LSTM-DNN hybrid model has better prediction performance,with a prediction accuracy of 93. 33% within the ±0. 5 error range,and has high stability and generalization ability. The model has been successfully integrated into the thermal imaging monitoring system of the tail section of the sintering machine,which realizes the online prediction and early warning of FeO content linked with image information and process parameters,and can provide effective technical support for inhibiting the fluctuation of FeO content,improving the quality stability of sinter,and promoting the intelligence of the sintering process.

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陈振民,李来胜,聂险峰,谭康康,毕兢,余正伟.基于LSTM-DNN混合模型的烧结矿FeO含量预测[J].烧结球团,2026,(2):45-53

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  • 最后修改日期:2026-02-04
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-21
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